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Strategic Adjustment and the Rise of ChinaPower and Politics in East Asia$
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Robert S. Ross

Print publication date: 2017

Print ISBN-13: 9781501709180

Published to Cornell Scholarship Online: January 2018

DOI: 10.7591/cornell/9781501709180.001.0001

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East Asia at the Center: Power Shifts and Theory

(p.285) Conclusion
Strategic Adjustment and the Rise of China

Øystein Tunsjø

Cornell University Press

This concluding chapter offers thoughts regarding the rise of China and the prospects for U.S.–China cooperation and regional stability. There is considerable uncertainty regarding China's long-term trajectory. In 2014–15, China's economic growth rate was in decline and institutional reforms and macroeconomic rebalancing continued to pose significant challenges to China's leaders. Similarly, there is uncertainty regarding the United States' ability to reduce its national debt and restrain its intervention in local conflicts outside of East Asia. But should China continue to rise and the United States sustain its ability to contend over the regional order, the competition between the two nations will intensify. The great powers, in their effort to defend their regional security interests, will shape the East Asian order and the prospects for war and peace.

Keywords:   China, U.S.–China cooperation, economic growth, institutional reforms, East Asia, regional order, great powers

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