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Special DutyA History of the Japanese Intelligence Community$
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Richard J. Samuels

Print publication date: 2019

Print ISBN-13: 9781501741586

Published to Cornell Scholarship Online: May 2020

DOI: 10.7591/cornell/9781501741586.001.0001

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The Past and Future of Japanese Intelligence

The Past and Future of Japanese Intelligence

(p.241) Chapter 7 The Past and Future of Japanese Intelligence
Special Duty

Richard J. Samuels

Cornell University Press

This chapter measures the Japanese intelligence community against likely shifts in the security environment, technological change, and the costs of intelligence failure. It reviews dynamics and speculations about the future of the Japanese intelligence community. The chapter also concludes that “having power over much but insight into nothing” can have devastating consequences. The Japanese intelligence and security communities have each experienced a kind of imbalance. During its imperial expansion Japan had great power but limited insight, and during the American century it had greater insight but much more limited power. The failure to strike an effective balance between power and insight has come at great cost to Japan and to its neighbors, no less than it has to its ally the United States, during its own imperial moment.

Keywords:   Japanese intelligence community, Japanese intelligence, imperial expansion, American century, United States, security environment, technological change, intelligence failure

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